2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: NC Senate Race in for a Wire Finish


2022 North Carolina Senate race polls: Recent Polls Suggest North Carolina Seat Tightening.

Google Trends Data: Chery Beasley is Miles ahead on Google trends Data.

Social Media Sentiments: Chery Beasley popularity has risen in last few Months.

JUNE 30th

North Carolina Senate Primary 2022 Date

The North Carolina Senate Race will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect the representative. The Primaries were due to be held on May 17th, but a ruling by the North Carolina Supreme Court has delayed them indefinitely over a challenge to the congressional maps passed by the GOP-held legislature earlier in 2021. The Current incumbent of North Carolina is Richard Burr, who will not seek another term in 2022.

The maps are being challenged by Democratic-aligned groups partisan and racial gerrymanders. In the last decade, North Carolina’s map was struck down 3 times so this is not without precedent.

North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Insights and Observations

  • Polls Suggests a wire finish for North Carolina Senate Seat.
  • Chery Beasley has gained ground in last few Months. She is ahead on Google Analytics and Social Media Sentiments.
  • North Carolina Senate Seat is Currently with Republicans.
  • Diversity and a Large Chunk of White Majority People Indicate a Close Fight.
  • Both Party Supporters are Evenly Distributed throughout the State. Big Metropolitan Cities Favors the Democrats while other Counties are Bastion for Republicans.

YouTube video

Read: Best Pollsters Biden Approval Rating: Biden Improving a little but Risks remain

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: GOP Primary Polls

Donald Trump endorsed Ted Budd and is ahead in all the latest polls. Pat McCrory is a distant second.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race: GOP Google Search Data

Date Ted Budd Pat McCrory Mark Walker
May 18th 60% 26% 13%
May 17th 61% 23% 14%
May 16th 62% 24% 13%
May 10th 71% 23% 16%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Social Media Sentiment

Date Ted Budd Pat McCrory Mark Walker
May 18th +11% -14% +23%
May 17th -23% -16% +40%
May 16th -12% -12% +8%
May 10th -42.8% +14.3%

Democratic Primary

Date(s) Cheri
Beasley
Jeff
Jackson
Rett
Newton
Richard
Watkins
Meredith College April 25–27 49%
SurveyUSA April 6–10 37% 2%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: General Election

In 2016, this race was seen as competitive but Senator Richard Burr won by a larger than expected margin. While Trump won the state by under 4 points, Republican Burr won by 5.7.
Only one poll has been conducted in the general election. It was conducted by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on November 10, 2021.

Tedd Budd leads Beasley 40%-39% while McCrory leads her 42-40%. Both races are too close to call but the higher number of decided voters in the head-to-head with McCrory could owe to his higher name recognition.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Google Search Data

Date Ted Budd McCrory Cheri Beasley
June 29th 5% 95%
May 18th 47% 21% 31%
May 17th 50% 19% 29%
May 16th 50% 19% 29%
May 10th 49% 16% 35%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Social Media Sentiment

Date Ted Budd McCrory Cheri Beasley
June 29th -16% -23% +15%
May 18th -11% -14% +18%
May 17th -23% -16% -1%
May 16th -12% -12% +18%
May 9th -42.8% +14.3% +9.3%

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Latest News

  1. Trump-backed Rep. Ted Budd wins North Carolina GOP Senate primary, CNN projects
  2. Ted Budd (R), Cheri Beasley (D) win nominations for U.S. Senate in N.C. primary election
  3. Budd will face off against Beasley in North Carolina Senate contest, per AP race calls
  4. ‘Loudly and clearly.’ How Supreme Court’s abortion ruling could affect NC Senate race
  5. Don’t be so sure that Republicans will win the Senate

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Latest Videos

YouTube video

YouTube video

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Latest Tweets

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Candidates in the primaries

The Republican field is much more competitive than the Democratic side. Here are the candidates running in the primary.

Republican Candidates

  • Ted Budd, U.S. Representative for NC-13 (2017 – present)
  • Marjorie K. Eastman, Author, and veteran
  • Pat McCrory, former Governor of North Carolina (2013–2017) and Mayor of Charlotte (1995–2009)
  • Mark Walker, Former US Representative for NC

Former Rep. Walker staying in North Carolina Senate race

Democratic Candidates

  • Cheri Beasley, former justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court (2012–2020; Chief Justice 2019–2020)
  • Everette Newton, mayor of Beaufort (2017-2021)

Supreme Court Justice Beasley is the outright favorite in the Democratic primary. She lost re-election to her seat in 2020 by a mere 300 votes. Her impressive performance, outrunning both Biden and the Democratic nominee in the senate election has given Democrats hope that she is a strong nominee and could win this seat. 2008 was the last time the party won a Senate election in the state.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Demographics of the Voting Age Population (VAP)

Demographic Proportion
White-American 63.6%
Hispanic-American 8.9%
African-American 21.4%
Asian-American 3.7%
Native-American 2.8%

The data is from the 2020 census. It shows an increasingly diversifying state with a booming Hispanic population. As a deep-south state, it has a large African-American population, especially in the rural areas.

Democratic vote strength comes from minorities and urban areas especially the research triangle and the Charlotte metro area. Joe Biden won Mecklenburg county – home to 1.1m people – by 35 points, while Clinton only won it by 29. Republican strength is centered in the exurban county around Charlotte and Sandhill area.
Native Americans are a swing group in the state unlike Natives in other western states, who backed Biden is massive margins. Robeson county, which is 40% backed Trump by 18 after backing him by 4 in 2016.

2022 North Carolina Senate Race Polls: Will Pat McCrory beat Trump backed Ted Budd?

North Carolina Senate Polls 2022: Major Counties Break-up in Last Election

1- Mecklenberg County: Major City- Charlotte

Republican Party Democratic Party
37% 59.3%

2- Wake County: Major City-Raleigh

Republican Party Democratic Party
41.5% 55.3%

3-Guilford county: Major City- Greensboro

Republican Party Democratic Party
40.6% 56.4%

4-Durham County: Major City-Durham

Republican Party Democratic Party
21.7% 75.9%

Crowdwisdom Analytics– Democratic party Swapped All Four Major Counties. Republicans Success Lied in Sweeping 77 out of 100 Counties in last Election.

This Time Fight is Expected to be Much Closer, Both parties have lost Some Popularity. Different Result in 5-6 Counties Can have an Effect on Result.

Follow other US Senate Polls here



Source link