The United States Florida Senate Election will be held on November 8th, 2022 to elect a member of the United States to represent the state of Florida. Both the senatorial seats of the state of Florida are currently held by Republicans. The one going to the election next year is the one held by incumbent Marco Rubio.
Florida has been a swing state on the national level for years but Donald Trump made huge inroads with Latino voters and especially Cuban-American voters in Miami Date county, resulting in a 3.5-point win, the largest margin of victory in Florida since 2004 by any presidential candidate.
Marco Rubio, a Cuban-American Republican who first won the election in the red wave of 2010, easily held on in 2016 after running for president unsuccessfully, defeating Democrat Patrick Murphy by 7.3 points and vastly outperforming Trump in the state who only managed to defeat Clinton by 1 point. This makes him a huge favorite for the 2022 election.
|Insights and Observations
As per the Latest polls, Marco Rubio is ahead of Val Demings. The polls also show that 12% of people in Florida still remain undecided. This particular 12% of voters play a key role in the Florida senate race. In this senate race, Marco Rubio has an edge to win the GOP and Val Demings could be the Democratic Primary winner.
According to polls, if the election happens 47% of people in Florida will be voting for Marco Rubio and 41% for Val Demings. It is somewhere clear that mostly the Floridians find Marco Rubio more favorable compared to Val Demings.
But according to the latest google trends and net sentiment, Val Demings is gaining a lot. The search volume for Val Demings is much higher compared to her opponent Rubio. The net sentiments are also favoring Demings as it has turned positive over the past few weeks.
Our observation says that the Florida senate race is too close to call and 12% of voters still remain undecided. But the senate race is most likely to happen between Rubio and Demings.
Florida Senate Race 2022 Polls: Latest General Election Polls
Florida Senate Race Prediction
|Marco Rubio (R)||Val Demings (D)||Predicted Winner|
|Smarkets||Odds: 1.01||Odds: 10.5||Rubio|
Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Google Search Update
Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Social Media Sentiments
Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Latest Campaign Funding
Florida Senate Polls 2022: Latest Campaign News
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Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Latest Videos
Florida Senate Race Polls 2022: Latest Tweets
Florida Senate Polls 2022: Frequently Asked Questions
How many US house seats are in Florida?
- Florida is divided into 27 congressional districts and the US House of Representatives represents each. As the population increased, the number of seats increased from 25 to 27 by the 2010 census.
How long do senators serve in Florida?
- In Florida, senators are elected to serve for year terms. The representative serves a two-year term after getting elected. Presently 40 senators and 120 members House of Representatives serve Florida.
Florida Senate Polls 2022: Demographics of Florida
As per the 2020 Census figures
70% of the State’s denizens identify as Christian and 3% identify as Jews. The two largest congregations are Protestants at 46% and Catholics at 21%.
Most of Florida’s Hispanics are Cubans. In fact, Florida as a state due to its close proximity to Cuba has the highest proportion of Cuban Americans in the country. Most of the community is well known for its antipathy to Communism or Socialism due to most of the community being forced to migrate due to the actions of the Communist government of Cuba.
There’s a large chunk of Puerto Ricans in Florida, especially in the Orlando Metro area. They moved to Florida due to its cultural similarities, the poor economic conditions in Puerto Rico, and after Hurricane Maria devastated the island in 2018. The remaining Latino population is very diverse, hailing from various countries in South America including Mexico, Colombia, Venezuela, etc.
Florida has been crowned as one of the best places to retire due to its weather and beaches. Thus the state also has a large retiree population. 20% of the population is over 65 years of age.
Florida Senate Polls 2022: Party Registration
Florida has been a reliable swing state since 1992 fiercely contested between the 2 major parties.
In the last 20 years, the Republican party has grown more powerful in Florida and has been able to win over most state-level elected offices. Currently, except for the Agriculture Commissioner, it holds nearly each and every single office in the state including the 2 Senate seats and 16/27 US House Representative Seats.
As per the latest figures released by the Florida Secretary of State:-
Registered Republicans are 35.77% of total voters
Registered Democrats are 35.93% of total voters
Registered Independents are 26.54% of total voters