Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Statistical Analysis


Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction

When is Leeds United most likely to score a goal? Leeds United has been better at goal-scoring in the second half. They have scored 70% of their goals in the last 45 minutes of the EPL matches.

When is Aston Villa most likely to score a goal? Aston Villa might get some chances to score in the first half. 33.3% of their goals have come in the time frame of 30-45 minutes.

Who is most likely to score for Leeds? Rodrigo has looked in good touch this season. If he plays the next game, he is likely to score for the Peacocks.

Who is most likely to score for Aston Villa? Ollie Watkins and Danny Ings have a higher probability to score for Villa than the other players.

CrowdWisdom360 Prediction: Leeds United 1 Aston Villa 1

All statistical analysis is based on historic performance. Player performance in the final may not necessarily replicate the recent performances.

Leeds United will look to get back to winning ways in the EPL when they host Aston Villa for the upcoming home fixture at the Elland Road Stadium on Sunday, 2 October. It will be challenging for the Peacocks to bring their top form back after a gap of almost a month. Leeds United has failed to secure 3 points from any match after the famous 3-0 win against Chelsea.

Aston Villa has looked in struggling form this season. However, they are coming off a 1-0 home win against Southampton. A win against Leeds United in an away fixture will surely give a major boost to Steven Gerrard’s men.

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Goals Scored and Conceded

Leeds United

Time Frame Goals Scored Goals Conceded
First 15 minutes 0 0
16 to 30 minutes 1 2
31 to 45 minutes 4 2
46 to 60 minutes 2 1
61 to 75 minutes 1 1
76 to 90 minutes 1 2
First Half 5 4
Second Half 4 4
Total (Last 5 Matches) 9 8

Aston Villa

Time Frame Goals Scored Goals Conceded
First 15 minutes 0 0
16 to 30 minutes 0 2
31 to 45 minutes 2 0
46 to 60 minutes 0 1
61 to 75 minutes 4 1
76 to 90 minutes 1 1
First Half 2 2
Second Half 5 3
Total (Last 5 Matches) 7 5

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Forwards Statistics

Goals Shots On Target Per Game
Leeds United
Rodrigo 4 1.4
Patrick Bamford 0 0.5
Joe Gelhardt 0 0.2
Aston Villa
Ollie Watkins 1 0.6
Danny Ings 1.0 0.5
Leon Bailey 1 0.3

The experienced Spanish footballer Rodrigo spearheads the attack for the Peacocks. He has scored 4 goals in the current EPL season, playing at an average of 3.8 shots per game. He also added 1 assist and 2 big chances created to his name. However, he is currently suffering from a shoulder injury. Patrick Bamford is a substitute option for Leeds. He is playing at an average of 1.8 shots per match with 67% dribbling success.

The Engliash footballers Ollie Watkins and Danny Ings are the key strikers for Aston Villa. Watkins has scored 1 goal so far along with 2 assists and 1 big chance created. Ings has also scored once this season. He got a dribbling success of 83%.

Top Scorers for Leeds United in Last Season:

  • Raphinha (11 goals)
  • Jack Harrison (8 goals)
  • Rodrigo (6 goals)

Top Scorers for Aston Villa in Last Season:

  • Ollie Watkins (11 goals)
  • Danny Ings (7 goals)
  • Jacob Ramsey (6 goals)

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Yellow Card Statistics

Yellow Cards
Brenden Aaronson 2
Jack Harrison 2
Rasmus Kristensen 2
Yellow Cards
Jacob Ramsey 3
Ashley Young 2
Danny Ings 2

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Midfield Statistics

Passing Accuracy Key Passes Per Game
Leeds United
Jack Harrison 75% 3.0
Luis Sinisterra 87% 0.2
Marc Roca 83% 1.0
Aston Villa
John McGinn 82% 0.4
Emiliano Buendia 82% 0.9
Leander Dendoncker 85% 0.4

Jack Harrison and Luis Sinisterra have been the top players in the midfield for Leeds United this season. Harrison has added 1 goal to his name as of now along with 3 assists and 4 big chances created. Sinisterra is the top goal-scorer for Villa with 2 goals. He also won 63% of the aerial duels.

Aston Villa’s midfield consists of players like John McGinn and Emiliano Buendia. McGinn has played the current season at an average of 1.1 interceptions per game with 70% dribbling success. Buendia has scored 1 goal so far. He won 50% of the aerial duels.

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Defence Statistics

Clearances Per Game Tackles Per Game
Leeds United
Pascal Struijk 2.2 3.5
Robin Koch 3.2 1.8
Rasmus Kristensen 1.8 2.0
Aston Villa
Ashley Young 1.7 2.3
Lucas Digne 2.3 2.3
Matty Cash 1.2 2.2

Pascal Struijk is the leading defender for Leeds United. Struijk has maintained an average of 3.5 tackles per game this season. He also assisted in a goal. Robin Koch is another key defender who has played at an average of 3.2 clearances per match, winning 64% of the aerial duels.

The top defenders for Aston Villa include Ashley Young and Lucas Digne. Young has been good in the current EPL season as he has an average of 2.3 tackles per game with 67% success in the ground duels. Digne’s tackling average stands at 2.3 per match. He won 58% of the total duels.

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Goalkeeper Stats

Illan Meslier (Leeds United) Emiliano Maritnez (Aston Villa)
Saves Per Game 2.8 (63%) 3.1 (69%)
Goals Conceded Per Game 1.7 1.4
Clean Sheets 1 1

Leeds United’s goalkeeper Illan Meslier has been good so far as he has maintained an average of 2.8 saves per game in the current EPL season with a success rate of 63%. He had 1 clean sheet.

Emiliano Martinez has done a decent job in goalkeeping for Aston Villa. He has played at an average of 3.1 saves per match with a success rate of 69%. Martinez also had 1 clean sheet.

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Team Stats (All Competitions)

Stats Leeds United Aston Villa
Matches 12 14
Goals per game 2.17 1.64
Goals conceding per game 1.33 1.07
Clean Sheets 2 4
Ball Possession % 55.88% 45.20%

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Head to Head Statistics

Matches: 104 | Leeds United: 32 | Draw: 31 | Aston Villa: 41

Recent 5 Meetings: Fulham: 1 | Draw: 2 | Newcastle: 2

Last Meeting: Aston Villa defeated Leeds United with a score of 3-0 in a Premier League fixture on 10 March 2022.

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Winning Odds

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Predicted Lineup

Leeds United (4-2-3-1): Meslier; Struijk, Llorente, Koch, Drameh; Roca, Adams; Harrison, Aaronson, Sinisterra; Gelhardt/Rodrigo

Aston Villa (4-3-2-1): Martinez; Young, Konsa, Mings, Digne; Ramsey, Kamara, McGinn; Bailey, Coutinho; Watkins

Leeds vs Aston Villa Prediction: Final Analysis and Prediction

Both teams had a similar campaign this season. A win in the next game is crucial to get into the top 10 on the points table. Leeds United needs to re-strategize their plans after a long gap. They will be having the home advantage on Sunday. On the other hand, Aston Villa will look to capitalize on the momentum after a win in the last match. Most of the predictions and betting platforms are suggesting an equal probability of a win for both teams, while some are giving a slight upper hand to Leeds United.

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