PA Governor Race 2022 Polls: Biden’s Declining Approval Rating to be Costly for Shapiro?

June 23rd: PA Governor Race 2022 Polls: The latest polls for the upcoming Pennsylvania Governor Race have GOP candidate Doug Mastriano trailing the Democrat Josh Shapiro.

Crowdwisdom360 Poll of Polls: Shapiro: 45% Mastriano: 42%.

Google Trends: On Google Trends, Shapiro is trailing Mastriano. In the last 7 days’ data, Mastriano leads Shapiro by 15 points.

Net Sentiment: The net sentiment of Josh Shapiro is better compared to Doug Mastriano while for Doug Mastriano the sentiments are not at all a healthy one.

Verdict: Considering all the data points, Josh Shapiro has an edge over Doug Mastriano. If the elections are held today, Josh Shapiro could be the next governor of Pennsylvania.

The 2022 Governor Election in Pennsylvania is set to take place on November 8th, 2022. The seat is open after 2 term Democratic Governor Tom Wolf is termed out. His Lt. Governor, Fetterman is Democratic Party’s candidate for the upcoming Senate election which leaves Attorney General Josh Shapiro as the only Democratic primary choice.

Josh Shapiro will be up against the Republican candidate Doug Mastriano. Doug Mastriano registered a massive win in GOP Primary race. He got about 44% vote share while his nearest challenger, Lou Barletta got only 21% vote share.

In Democratic Field, Josh Shapiro Got 100% of the votes as he had no challenger in the Primary election.

PA Governor Race Polls 2022: Doug Mastriano vs Josh Shapiro

Polls Date
Average of Polls June 23rd
Josh Shapiro 45%
Doug Mastriano 42%
Suffolk University June 15th
Josh Shapiro 44%
Doug Mastriano 40%
Osage Research May 11th
Josh Shapiro 49%
Doug Mastriano 41%
Key Issues Among the Voters

The latest survey for the upcoming Pennsylvania Governor Race has been conducted by Suffolk University. The survey gave Josh Sapito a 4% lead over Doug Mastriano. The key issue that the voters considered to be of utmost importance in Pennsylvania are:
1. Economy (30%)
2. Gun control (17%)
3. Abortion (10%)
4. Corruption (9%)
5. Education (7%)
6. Taxes (7%)

The survey threw up interesting findings:
As per the survey, 47% of the respondents believed that Donald Trump’s endorsement makes them less likely to vote for the candidates while only 22% believed that Donald Trump’s endorsement makes them more likely to vote for the candidate.

With respect to Joe Biden, 55% disapprove of the job done by Biden and only 39% are happy with his work.

PA Governor Race 2022 Polls: Google Search Trends

PA Governor Race 2022 Polls: Social Media Sentiment, Last 7 Days

June 23rd
Josh Shapiro -2.8%
Doug Mastriano -57.9%

PA Governor Race 2022: Latest Videos

YouTube video

PA Governor Race 2022: Latest Tweets

Originally tweeted by Josh Shapiro (@JoshShapiroPA) on June 22, 2022.

Doug Mastriano is a dangerous extremist. We can’t let him get his hands on our Governor’s veto pen. Help us stop him. Pitch in.

Our next Governor will either protect a woman’s fundamental right to choose or outright ban abortion — and I want you to know where I stand.

PA Primary Results

The Democratic and Republican primaries were held on May 17, 2022. Democratic Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro and Republican State Senator Doug Mastriano won their parties’ respective nominations.

PA Governor Race Polls: Democratic Primary Results

Josh Shapiro Uncontested Race (100%)

PA Governor Race: GOP Primary Results

Vote %
Doug Mastriano 43.8
Lou Barletta 20.2
McSwain 15.8

Pennsylvania Governor Race Polls 2022: What Happened in the Last Election?

The last Pennsylvania Governor election was held on November 6th, 2018. Incumbent Democratic Governor Tom Wolf won re-election to a second term by a double-digit margin, defeating Republican challenger Scott Wagner.

Tom Wolf polled 57.8% of the votes while the GOP candidate Scott Wagner received 40.7% votes.

Pennsylvania Governor Race Polls 2022: Racial Demographics

As per the latest 2020 Census Figures, the population of the state is as follows:
White votes remain a large majority and it’s the same case in both parties’ primaries. Black voters remain a crucial voting bloc for Dems and they need to ensure Philadelphia turns out to be high. The 4 suburban “collar” counties around the city are also huge vote banks for Dems as they trend away from Trump’s GOP.

Montgomery and Delaware County are especially important. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh and its metro area have been a bright spot for Democrats while they lose votes in white working-class areas in North-East Pennsylvania (NEPA) like Biden’s hometown of Scranton. South Central PA is an extremely vote-rich area and the counties of Cumbria, Northumberland, and Lebanon will be battlegrounds again. That area along with the rural counties remains a vote source for the GOP.

Demographics Proportion
White American 73.5%
Black American 10.5%
Hispanic American 8.1%
Asian American 3.9%
Multi-racial 3.5%
Others 0.5%
PA Governor Race 2022 Polls

Read: Pennsylvania Senate Race 2022 Polls

Source link