Stacey Abrams Polls: Here is Why Stacey Abrams is Trailing Brian Kemp


Stacey Abrams Polls: Stacey Abrams is trailing Brian Kemp by a minimum of 5 points as per the latest polls. Here are the reasons why she is trailing Kemp.

Stacey Abrams, the Democratic Party nominee for the Georgia Governor Election is trailing the incumbent Governor Brian Kemp by 5 points. The latest polls have shown a close fight between the two but Kemp has been ahead of Abrams by 5-6 points.

Stacey Abrams had won the Democratic Primary Race unopposed but Brian Kemp was up against the Trump-endorsed candidate, David Perdue. But Kemp was able to register a massive win despite Perdue being endorsed by Donald Trump. Kemp got around 74% vote share while Perdue polled just 22% votes.

The Georgia Governor election to elect the new Governor of Georgia will take place on November 8th, 2022. It must be remembered, that Georgia despite having a Republican Governor, Donald Trump lost the state to Joe Biden in the 2020 Presidential election. However, the margin of defeat was less than 0.5%.

Stacey Abrams Polls: Latest Polls

The latest Stacey Abrams polls for the upcoming Georgia gubernatorial election was released in the first week of June. As per the poll, Brian Kemp is well-positioned to poll around 50% of the votes while Stacey Abrams could receive a 45% vote share.

Stacey Abrams Polls: Strengths and Weaknesses

Brian Kemp’s Strengths Stacey Abrams’s Strengths
Immigration (+87%) Healthcare (+25%)
Economy (+34%) Racial Issues (+70%)
Crime (+12%)

Stacey Abrams is underperforming on functional issues (Practical) trailing Kemp on 3 out of 4 major issues. She will need to cover the ground here to make any progress amongst Men, Independents and older voters. Focussing too much on racial issues and voter suppression will mobilize black voters better but won’t win the election.

Stacey Abrams Polls: Brian Kemp’s Strengths and Stacey Abrams’s Strength

Brian Kemp’s Strengths Stacey Abrams’s Strengths
White Voters (+47%) Black Voters (+72%)
Affluent Voters (+20%) Voters below the age of 50 years (7%)
Voters older than 50 years (+15%) Lower Income groups (+11%)
Men (8%)

Abrams is struggling amongst older voters compared to Biden. One could say that higher inflation is hurting these voters the most. Biden hammered Trump amongst Independents winning by 9% points, and Abrams on the other hand is trailing by 3%, a swing of 12%. Biden also won amongst women by a much larger margin than where Stacey Abrams is at the moment.

Compared to 2018, Abrams is underperforming amongst Whites, Men, and older voters.

Stacey Abrams Polls:: So how are the two playing this?

Stacey Abrams is pushing for higher minimum pay for teachers. Teachers make up 1.4% of the voters. She is talking much more about Gun reform and abortion rights trying to increase her lead amongst women voters, specifically suburban voters.

Given the abysmal Biden ratings, Stacey Abrams has been pushing Kemp to extend the Gas tax suspension. Georgia has one of the lowest gas rates in the country.
Kemp too wants to woo Teachers with a $5k wage increase and he likes talking about Tax refunds which have given him a big boost amongst affluent voters

Stacey Abrams Polls: Conclusion

Brian Kemp in the recently concluded Primary election was able to prove that his policies are bigger vote gainers than the endorsement. He is well-placed to win the upcoming Georgia Governor Election. For Stacey Abrams in order to defeat Kemp, she will have to try and grab more independent votes. However, as of now she is trailing Kemp but the election is still 5 months from now, therefore, her chances of becoming the next governor of Georgia cannot be ruled out.

Read: Georgia Governor Polls

Stacey Abrams Polls



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